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Underclass Showcase: Data Dive


Kevin Cronin
Area Scout, Tech Analyst

On Sunday, October 16, the PBR Illinois staff hosted the Underclass Showcase at The MAX in McCook, Illinois. The event featured just under 70 players from the 2025-2026 grad classed and brought together some of the most talented underclass prospects in the state.

Earlier this week we published Quick Hits highlighting the top prospects of the event by class. We also rolled out a Statistical Analysis pointing out the top recorded stats by category. Today, we're going to continue breaking down the takeaways from the event by diving deeper into all of the data we collected at the showcase in the form of our Data Dive.

TRACKMAN

We'll continue to roll out the data we gathered from this event, starting with the analytics we have at our disposal from our TrackMan units. Below we'll look at which players had noteworthy batted ball and pitch data.

MAX FASTBALL VELOCITY & AVERAGE SPIN RATE

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 87.0 mph
2 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 86.2 mph
3 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 84.5 mph
4 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 84.5 mph
5 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 83.5 mph
6 Mason Jurewicz IL New Trier 2025 RHP 82.8 mph
7 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 82.4 mph
8 Donovan Christman IL McHenry 2025 RHP 81.5 mph
9 David Leung IL Hinsdale Central 2025 LHP 81.5 mph
10 Ethan Faith IL Jacobs 2025 RHP 81.1 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 2513 rpm
2 Mason Jurewicz IL New Trier 2025 RHP 2479 rpm
3 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 2369 rpm
4 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 2262 rpm
5 Charlie Taczy IL Cary-Grove 2025 RHP 2240 rpm
6 Chase Lockwood IL Libertyville 2026 RHP 2232 rpm
7 Nico Harper IL Libertyville 2026 LHP 2217 rpm
8 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 2129 rpm
9 Danny Morinec IL Lincoln-Way Central 2025 2B 2118 rpm
10 Ryan Mirante IL South Elgin 2025 OF 2104 rpm

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

AVERAGE FASTBALL HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 19.0
2 Nico Harper IL Libertyville 2026 LHP -16.8
3 Ryan Mirante IL South Elgin 2025 OF -16.6
4 Brady Turner IL Routt Catholic 2026 LHP -15.4
5 Danny Morinec IL Lincoln-Way Central 2025 2B 15.1
6 Mason Atkins IL West Aurora 2026 OF 14.9
7 Danny Kienzle IL Lyons Township 2025 LHP -14.5
8 Andrew Phelps IL Lincoln Park 2025 OF 13.1
9 Ethan Faith IL Jacobs 2025 RHP 12.9
10 Jordan Shoemaker IL Metea Valley 2025 OF 12.8

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

AVERAGE CURVEBALL & SLIDER SPIN RATE

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jordan Shoemaker IL Metea Valley 2025 OF 2672 rpm
2 Brady Turner IL Routt Catholic 2026 LHP 2586 rpm
3 Chase Lockwood IL Libertyville 2026 RHP 2513 rpm
4 Donovan Christman IL McHenry 2025 RHP 2410 rpm
5 Tyler Dowling IL Bloomington 2025 RHP 2403 rpm
6 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 2266 rpm
7 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 2255 rpm
8 AJ Neargarder IL Zion Benton 2025 SS 2245 rpm
9 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 2245 rpm
10 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 2232 rpm

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brady Turner IL Routt Catholic 2026 LHP 2655
2 AJ Neargarder IL Zion Benton 2025 SS 2414
3 Charlie Taczy IL Cary-Grove 2025 RHP 2329
4 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 2301
5 Chase Lockwood IL Libertyville 2026 RHP 2285
6 Donovan Christman IL McHenry 2025 RHP 2281
7 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 2266
8 Nick Szalony IL Mundelein 2025 SS 2086
9 Aadden Guerrero IL Lyons Township 2025 SS 2084
10 Danny Kienzle IL Lyons Township 2025 LHP 1837

AVERAGE CHANGEUP HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Charlie Taczy IL Cary-Grove 2025 RHP 17.1
2 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 16.0
3 Jordan Shoemaker IL Metea Valley 2025 OF 16.0
4 Chase Lockwood IL Libertyville 2026 RHP 15.9
5 David Leung IL Hinsdale Central 2025 LHP -15.5
6 AJ Neargarder IL Zion Benton 2025 SS 15.3
7 Tyler Dowling IL Bloomington 2025 RHP 13.6
8 Danny Morinec IL Lincoln-Way Central 2025 2B 13.2
9 Mason Atkins IL West Aurora 2026 OF 12.8
10 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 12.3

MAX EXIT VELOCITY (HITTING)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (max)
1 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 96.8 mph
2 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 96.7 mph
3 Henry Murray IL Lane Tech 2025 OF 96.3 mph
4 Ryan Mirante IL South Elgin 2025 OF 95.6 mph
5 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 95.0 mph
6 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 94.8 mph
7 Adolfo Lopez IL Maine East 2025 3B 93.9 mph
8 Jack Nelson IL Johnsburg 2025 OF 93.4 mph
9 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 93.4 mph
10 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 92.9 mph

MAX DISTANCE (HITTING)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Distance (max)
1 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 370 ft
2 Henry Murray IL Lane Tech 2025 OF 358 ft
3 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 354 ft
4 Adolfo Lopez IL Maine East 2025 3B 344 ft
5 Logan Nagle IL Lockport 2025 3B 338 ft
6 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 334 ft
7 Brock Fearday IL St. Anthony 2025 RHP 327 ft
8 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 326 ft
9 Theodore Greco IL Lane Tech 2025 SS 318 ft
10 Constantine Coines IL Maine South 2025 OF 316 ft

BLAST MOTION

With the help of our Blast Motion sensors, we're analyzing the swing metrics measured at this open showcase.

HAND SPEED (PEAK & AVERAGE)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Hand Speed (max)
1 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 25.4 mph
2 David Biede IL Vernon Hills 2025 SS 24.7 mph
3 Jack Nelson IL Johnsburg 2025 OF 24.5 mph
4 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 23.9 mph
^ Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 23.9 mph
5 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 23.8 mph
6 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 23.0 mph
7 Jackson Schlott IL Plainfield North 2026 OF 22.9 mph
8 Henry Murray IL Lane Tech 2025 OF 22.8 mph
^ Freddie Matvias IL DePaul College Prep 2025 C 22.8 mph
9 Eddie Zuniga IL Mundelein 2026 C 22.7 mph
10 Ryan Frano IL Glenbard East 2025 LHP 22.6 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Hand Speed (avg)
1 David Biede IL Vernon Hills 2025 SS 23.4 mph
2 Jack Nelson IL Johnsburg 2025 OF 22.7 mph
3 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 22.7 mph
4 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 22.4 mph
5 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 22.3 mph
6 Keegan Luxem IL Hersey 2025 RHP 21.8 mph
7 Eddie Zuniga IL Mundelein 2026 C 21.7 mph
8 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 21.4 mph
9 Freddie Matvias IL DePaul College Prep 2025 C 21.3 mph
10 Henry Murray IL Lane Tech 2025 OF 21.2 mph

Peak Hand Speed: The observed maximum speed as measured on the handle of the bat (measured six inches from the knob of the bat). Peak Hand Speed will occur prior to the moment of impact, very close to the commit time in the swing when the wrists unhinge.

BAT SPEED (AVERAGE)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Bat Speed (avg)
1 Bryce Loeger IL Conant 2024 RHP 75.4 mph
2 Carter Bleakney IL Champaign Central 2025 OF 74.1 mph
3 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 73.0 mph
4 Jordan Shoemaker IL Metea Valley 2025 OF 72.5 mph
5 Ryan Mirante IL South Elgin 2025 OF 72.3 mph
6 Ethan Bass IL Glenbrook North 2026 SS 71.8 mph
7 Adolfo Lopez IL Maine East 2025 3B 70.7 mph
8 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 70.6 mph
9 Ben Toft IL New Trier 2025 OF 69.5 mph
10 Constantine Coines IL Maine South 2025 OF 69.1 mph

Bat Speed: The observed speed of the sweet spot of the bat at impact. The sweet spot of the bat is measured six inches from the tip of the bat.

ROTATIONAL ACCELERATION (PEAK & AVERAGE)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Rot. Acc (max)
1 Adolfo Lopez IL Maine East 2025 3B 26.6 g
2 Angelo Lundeen IL Lyons Township 2025 C 25.5 g
3 Eddie Zuniga IL Mundelein 2026 C 23.9 g
4 Aadden Guerrero IL Lyons Township 2025 SS 23.6 g
5 Jack Nelson IL Johnsburg 2025 OF 22.2 g
6 Danny Morinec IL Lincoln-Way Central 2025 2B 21.9 g
7 Ryan Mirante IL South Elgin 2025 OF 20.8 g
8 Peter Corthinos IL Maine South 2026 C 20.5 g
^ Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 20.5 g
9 Ben Toft IL New Trier 2025 OF 20.0 g
^ Constantine Coines IL Maine South 2025 OF 20.0 g
10 Connor Lund IL South Elgin 2025 OF 19.2 g

Rank Name State School Class Pos Rot. Acc (avg)
1 Adolfo Lopez IL Maine East 2025 3B 23.6 g
2 Aadden Guerrero IL Lyons Township 2025 SS 20.5 g
3 Eddie Zuniga IL Mundelein 2026 C 19.9 g
4 Angelo Lundeen IL Lyons Township 2025 C 19.7 g
5 Jack Nelson IL Johnsburg 2025 OF 19.0 g

Body Rotation: A swing that has the appropriate relative contributions of body and bat rotations is an efficient and Powerful swing that maintains proper sequencing. An efficient baseball swing is one in which the body creates the initial movements, which is then transferred to the arms and out to the bat, thereby maximizing Bat Speed through this proximal-to-distal kinematic sequencing movement pattern.

VIZUAL EDGE

A look at the top Vizual Edge scores from the event.

Rank Name State School Class Pos Edge Score
1 Logan Nagle IL Lockport 2025 3B 86.63
2 Jordan Shoemaker IL Metea Valley 2025 OF 81.84
3 Constantine Coines IL Maine South 2025 OF 80.75
4 Dominic Holton IL Notre Dame Prep 2025 SS 80.63
5 Connor Lund IL South Elgin 2025 OF 80.32
6 Andrew Banaszak IL St. Laurence 2025 C 80.16
7 Lucas Farabaugh IL Ottawa Township 2026 C 80.12
8 Henry Murray IL Lane Tech 2025 OF 79.44
9 Jaden Fauske IL Nazareth Academy 2025 C 79.13
10 Anthony Karbowski IL Hampshire 2025 LHP 79.00

The Edge Score is a comprehensive score out of 100 that takes the core-six visual skills into account, providing athletes, parents, coaches and scouts with a benchmark number for assessing an athlete’s overall visual ability. In general the higher the Edge Score, the higher chance of athletic success. Think of the Edge Score as the 'Sixth Metric' in the standard Five-Tools that make up a ball player.

The average Edge Score for the 2020 MLB Draft Class was 79.3 (of hitters who completed a Vizual Edge test). MLB players we've worked with typically show stronger scores, with elite hitters scoring consistently above 87.0 on their Edge Score.

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