Summer Breakout Prospects: College Hitters
August 28, 2024
Jarren Advincula, 2B, Cal- Hitters hit. And that’s exactly what the 2026 draft-eligible Advincula continued to do this summer. After producing a .325/.404/.458 as a true freshman this spring for the Golden Bears, he then hit his way to the Thurman Munson Award which is given to the top hitter for batting average in the Cape. Flirting with .400 most of the summer, Advincula finished with a .392 batting average. He has a little bit of Wade Boggs in him as a throwback-looking player with high socks and a line drive, use-all-fields approach at the plate. With a strong, athletic frame, deep crouch and high hands in his setup, the left handed hitter has a great feel for the barrel and occasional extra base pop to his pull side. His feel for the barrel and putting the ball in play is excellent. He’s also “old school” in the sense that he’s not afraid to cut down on his swing with two strikes. Advincula struck out just seven times this summer, while walking 11 which is very similar to last spring at Cal; 26 BB vs 16 SO. He can also run a bit, legging out a 4.02 to first base on a bunt and a 4.26 on a groundout. There are very few players in the college game with his pure hit ability and any increase in his power production will elevate him further up draft follow lists for 2026.
Aiva Arquette, INF, Washington/Oregon State- The big fish in this year’s transfer portal was captured by the Beavers late in this summer’s relocation olympics. Arquette began his prospect breakout this spring at Washington, hitting .325/.384/.574 with 12 home runs. He further strengthened his status as a potential day one prospect for the 2025 draft, slashing .291/.357/.437 with three homers, four doubles and 21 RBIs in 103 at-bats for Chatham in the Cape Cod League. At the plate, his barrel stays in the zone a long time, producing line-drive contact from gap to gap. The right handed hitter also has emerging home run power that plays to all fields, but particularly to his pull side. At 6-foot-4, 220 pounds, Arquette is a tall shortstop whose frame and movements remind some of a young DJ LeMahieu during his college days at LSU. He played mostly second base this spring but handled himself well at short in limited looks this summer and projects best as a pro third baseman as his frame continues to mature.
Brooks Bryan, C, Troy- Bryan went from an out of shape freshman who hit .217 with four home runs to a much more trim physique-sophomore who clubbed 18 home runs and drove home 83 while batting .280. A bit stiff, but country-strong with above average bat speed, the left handed slugger has near 70-grade raw power to all parts of the park. He hit a pair of backside home runs during the two-game USA CNT Stars & Stripes series before adding another against Chinese Taipei. There’s nothing fancy about his approach or setup at the plate. It’s simply a grip-n-rip that works well for him, although some scouts have concerns about the action to his load. Behind the plate he blocked and received well, while showing plus arm strength with average accuracy. Overall, Bryan projects to become an above average defender at the pro level and also possesses great intangibles with his people and leadership skills. He’s currently considered a top three round follow for the 2025 draft.
Brandon Compton, OF, Arizona State- Compton is from the same hometown (Buckeye, AZ) as former Sun Devil and 10-year Major Leaguer, Kole Calhoun. After recovering from TJ surgery his freshman year in Tempe, Compton began his prospect breakout last summer in the Northwoods League, slashing .320/.423/.563 with 13 home runs for Duluth. He then continued his assault on opposing pitchers with a .354/.427/.661 line during his redshirt freshman season this past spring for the Sun Devils. The left handed hitter reminds me physically and with his abilities at the plate of Florida State’s James Tibbs who was selected 13th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft. Strongly-built at 6-foot-1, 220 pounds Compton is a pure hitter with an advanced feel to hit, very good pitch recognition and extra base power. Defensively, he profiles to either outfield corner and with continued good health and excellence at the plate, he projects to the first half of day one next summer.
Ethan Conrad, OF, Wake Forest- The left handed hitter is a multi-tool talent and fast-rising prospect with solid tools across the board led by his ability to hit. Conrad slashed .385/.433/.486 with two home runs and 19 stolen bases during the regular season for Falmouth, followed by a 9-for-30 and three doubles in the postseason. Selected to the all-star game, Conrad earned West MVP honors as he scored two runs, while adding a base hit and one RBI. He has a smooth swing with good bat speed and above average raw power with in-game pop to all fields. He runs above average and is a solid defender in each of the three outfield spots. He also plays a strong first base which is where he spent most of his time last for Marist. With the rise of Seaver King still fresh in mind, Conrad is another small college transfer to the Demon Deacs who could hear his name called on day one next summer.
Nick Dumesnil, OF, California Baptist- Any concerns that Dumesnil’s production from his breakout 2024 season at Cal Baptist wouldn’t translate to the Cape were put to rest quickly and decidedly, as the outfielder was among the standout prospects of the summer. He batted .311/.371/.489 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 26 stolen bases in 27 tries. He stands out for his impressive bat speed, and though he has a hit-over-power profile, he does flash real power to all fields. His high stolen base total and success percentage is less of an indication of his speed—though he’s a good runner—and more of an indication of his baserunning smarts and instincts. He is a serviceable college center fielder, but will likely lack the closing speed to stick there as a professional. His plus arm strength does make him a good fit in right field, however. (Joe Healy- D1 Baseball)
Murf Gray, 3B, Fresno State- Batting .329/.367/.500 with nine doubles, five home runs and 27 RBI for Wareham in the Cape Cod League, Gray was among the breakout prospects of the summer. He looks the part at 6-foot-4 and 210 pounds and his big-time bat speed helps him produce the plus raw power that you would expect for someone of his stature. With that power he also exhibits excellent contact skills, which is expressed in a relatively low strikeout rate, both this summer and in his two seasons at Fresno State. Though his bat is the main attraction, Gray has also shown a lot of improvement at the hot corner. After fielding below .900 as a freshman, he made just four errors last spring, good for a .975 fielding percentage, and he was solid again this summer for Wareham. Gray’s numbers in two seasons at Fresno State have been very good (.296/.350/.500 with 18 home runs), and if his summer is any indication, he could be in for a monster junior campaign and day one draft prospect. (Joe Healy, D1 Baseball)
Tre Phelps, OF/3B, Georgia- An upcoming sophomore who is draft-eligible by age for 2025, Phelps has five-tool potential. He batted .353 as a true freshman for the Bulldogs this past spring and also led the USA CNT Summer League Tour team with a .385 average (5-for-13) with a triple and one home run. He’s an aggressive, early count hitter with a balanced and quiet hit approach. There’s plus raw juice in his swing and he gets to it during games (11 doubles, 12 home runs this spring). Phelps can also turn around any fastball and he’s a plus runner underway. In the outfield he’s presently an average defender with average arm strength, but also showed good actions on the dirt and looked playable at third base in limited chances. Phelps also plays with passion and is a flair-for-the-moment dude. Overall, he’s a fast-rising Day One prospect for 2025 and currently ranks No. 16 on D1 Baseball’s College Top 100.
Dixon Williams, 3B, ECU- Williams put together a tour de force summer in the NECBL, leading the league with a .402 average along with four homers, five doubles, 25 RBIs, 15 steals in 17 tries, and a 19-12 BB-K mark in 25 games. As that stat line attests, Williams does a lot of things well, and he also filled up the stat line evenly as a sophomore this spring for ECU, hitting .308/.406/.490 with nine homers, 11 doubles and a 25-28 BB-K mark. Williams is a disciplined left handed hitter with low hands and a slightly open setup, right on top of the plate. He has an athletic, strong 6-foot-2, 205-pound frame along with good instincts, hands, footwork and arm strength at the hot corner. He’s just a very good all-around player with a chance to vault up draft boards next year if his performance takes another jump, building off this summer. (Aaron Fitt- D1 Baseball)