Prep Baseball Report

2025 Top Prospect Games: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
PBR Arizona Operations

On June 12th, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the 2025 Top Prospect Games at Milwaukee Brewers Complex in Phoenix, Arizona. This event featured around 67 prospects with tons of highly intriguing uncommitted players heading into their junior years and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look at the players in attendance.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Ryan Caruso AZ Corona Del Sol 2025 RHP 88.9 mph
2 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B 88.1 mph
3 Ashton Higgins AZ Notre Dame Prep 2025 RHP 87.5 mph
4 Brady Campbell AZ Pinnacle 2025 OF 86.9 mph
5 Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 85.8 mph
6 J.T. Price AZ Centennial 2025 3B 85.6 mph
7 Ryan Jung AZ Pinnacle High School 2025 RHP 85.4 mph
8 Cody Stoller AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 85.3 mph
9 Joseph Talas AZ Centennial 2025 3B 85.3 mph
10 Mickey Fox AZ Yuma Catholic 2025 LHP 85.0 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Ryan Caruso AZ Corona Del Sol 2025 RHP 2381 rpm
2 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B 2270 rpm
3 J.T. Price AZ Centennial 2025 3B 2254 rpm
4 Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 2190 rpm
5 Joseph Talas AZ Centennial 2025 3B 2185 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Gabriel Esparza AZ Canyon View 2025 C 20.1 in
2 Braden Marchese AZ Verrado 2025 CF 18.6 in
3 Quinn Robbins AZ Horizon High School 2025 1B 18.4 in
4 Logan Gutterman AZ Highland 2025 LHP 18.0 in
5 Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF 17.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cody Stoller AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 15.6
2 Ryan Jung AZ Pinnacle High School 2025 RHP 14.7
3 Jet Gonzalez AZ Higley 2025 OF -13.9
4 Sammy Skinner AZ Desert Vista 2025 1B -13.5
5 Carter Daly AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 12.8

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Carter Daly AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 76 %
2 Ashton Higgins AZ Notre Dame Prep 2025 RHP 72 %
3 Mickey Fox AZ Yuma Catholic 2025 LHP 60 %
^ Luke Santarius AZ Chaparral 2025 OF 60 %
4 Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 55 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Mickey Fox AZ Yuma Catholic 2025 LHP 2392 rpm
2 Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 2301 rpm
3 Adrian Sanderford AZ Prescott 2025 RHP 2197 rpm
4 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B 2154 rpm
5 J.T. Price AZ Centennial 2025 3B 2154 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B -14.0 in
2 Braden Marchese AZ Verrado 2025 CF -10.2 in
3 Cole Gomez AZ Desert Vista High School 2025 RHP -9.3 in
4 Ashton Higgins AZ Notre Dame Prep 2025 RHP -8.2 in
5 Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF -8.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 J.T. Price AZ Centennial 2025 3B -15.2
2 Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF 14.0
3 Brady Short AZ Chaparral 2025 LHP 13.0
4 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B -12.6
5 Adrian Sanderford AZ Prescott 2025 RHP -12.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Ashton Higgins AZ Notre Dame Prep 2025 RHP 100 %
2 Carter Brown AZ Cactus Shadows 2025 1B 80 %
3 Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 50 %
4 Adrian Sanderford AZ Prescott 2025 RHP 33 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Ryan Caruso AZ Corona Del Sol 2025 RHP 2492
2 Carter Daly AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 2477
3 Quinn Robbins AZ Horizon High School 2025 1B 2372
4 Ryan Jung AZ Pinnacle High School 2025 RHP 2371
5 Noah Miller AZ Pusch Ridge Christian 2025 RHP 2365

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Logan Gutterman AZ Highland 2025 LHP 17.1 in
2 TRUMAN PARKER AZ Chaparral 2025 RHP 15.3 in
3 Brady Short AZ Chaparral 2025 LHP 14.8 in
4 Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF 14.5 in
5 Ryan Jung AZ Pinnacle High School 2025 RHP 12.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Joseph Talas AZ Centennial 2025 3B -20.4
2 Evan Hanish AZ Cactus Shadows High School 2025 C -18.5
3 Carter Daly AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP -18.2
4 Cody Stoller AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP -16.1
5 Noah Miller AZ Pusch Ridge Christian 2025 RHP -14.2

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Quinn Robbins AZ Horizon High School 2025 1B 100 %
^ Ryan Jung AZ Pinnacle High School 2025 RHP 100 %
^ Adrian Sanderford AZ Prescott 2025 RHP 100 %
2 Noah Miller AZ Pusch Ridge Christian 2025 RHP 66 %
^ Jet Gonzalez AZ Higley 2025 OF 66 %
^ Jaxon Valdez AZ Williams Field 2025 1B 66 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cody Stoller AZ Sandra Day O'Connor 2025 RHP 20.8
2 Parker Halvorson AZ Chaparral High School 2025 SS 19.6
3 Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF -17.4
4 Brady Short AZ Chaparral 2025 LHP -16.0
5 Noah Miller AZ Pusch Ridge Christian 2025 RHP 15.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Sammy Skinner AZ Desert Vista 2025 1B 100 %
^ Ashton Higgins AZ Notre Dame Prep 2025 RHP 100 %
^ Caleb Sweeney AZ Valley Christian 2025 LHP 100 %
^ Kenny Wilsford AZ Queen Creek 2025 OF 100 %
^ Parker Halvorson AZ Chaparral High School 2025 SS 100 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
Scottsdale Open AZ 07/11 Scottsdale Stadium - Scottsdale, AZ
PBR Junior Future Games NATIONAL 07/25 LakePoint
2023 PBR Future Games (Arizona Invite) AZ 07/26 LakePoint Sports - Cartersville, GA
2023 PBR West Coast Games AZ 08/4 UNLV & College of Southern Nevada


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