Phoenix Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive
November 1, 2023
On Sunday, October 29th, the PBR Arizona staff hosted the Phoenix Fall ID at Brazell Field at GCU Ballpark in Phoenix, Arizona. This event featured 53 prospects from the 2024 - 2027 classes and allowed our staff an opportunity to get an in-depth look and analysis of the players in attendance.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
1 | Greg Mattison | AZ | Canyon View | 2024 | RHP | 88.3 mph |
2 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 88.1 mph |
3 | Devin Morganfield | AZ | VALLEY CHRISTIAN SCHOOLS | 2026 | RHP | 85.9 mph |
4 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 85.7 mph |
5 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 85.6 mph |
6 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 83.5 mph |
7 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 83.4 mph |
8 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | 82.5 mph |
9 | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | 81.0 mph |
10 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 81.0 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 2411 rpm |
2 | Greg Mattison | AZ | Canyon View | 2024 | RHP | 2257 rpm |
3 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 2243 rpm |
4 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 2058 rpm |
5 | Andrew Bromley | AZ | Desert Ridge High | 2025 | RHP | 2044 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 17.3 in |
2 | Greg Mattison | AZ | Canyon View | 2024 | RHP | 17.1 in |
3 | Sam Sejong Hwang | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2027 | RHP | 16.6 in |
4 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 16.5 in |
5 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 16.5 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | -13.3 |
2 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 12.3 |
3 | Andrew Bromley | AZ | Desert Ridge High | 2025 | RHP | 11.4 |
4 | Tytin Clancy | AZ | Queen Creek High School | 2027 | 3B | 10.4 |
5 | Devin Morganfield | AZ | VALLEY CHRISTIAN SCHOOLS | 2026 | RHP | 10.3 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | 66 % |
^ | Auron Avery | AZ | American Leadership Academy Gilbert North | 2027 | OF | 66 % |
^ | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 66 % |
2 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 57 % |
3 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | 50 % |
^ | Devin Morganfield | AZ | VALLEY CHRISTIAN SCHOOLS | 2026 | RHP | 50 % |
^ | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 50 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 2743 rpm |
2 | JJ Dominguez | AZ | Notre Dame Prep | 2026 | 3B | 2187 rpm |
3 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 2087 rpm |
4 | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | 1970 rpm |
5 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | 1925 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 17.3 in |
2 | Greg Mattison | AZ | Canyon View | 2024 | RHP | 17.1 in |
3 | Sam Sejong Hwang | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2027 | RHP | 16.6 in |
4 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 16.5 in |
5 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 16.5 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | -19.2 |
2 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | -14.0 |
3 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | -12.1 |
4 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | -11.1 |
5 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | -8.9 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 66 % |
2 | Ashton Higgins | AZ | NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY | 2025 | RHP | 60 % |
^ | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | 60 % |
3 | Trey Parker | AZ | Coconino | 2026 | OF | 50 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
1 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 2607 |
2 | Andrew Bromley | AZ | Desert Ridge High | 2025 | RHP | 2541 |
3 | Greg Mattison | AZ | Canyon View | 2024 | RHP | 2272 |
4 | Nolan Meis | WI | Lakeside Lutheran | 2025 | SS | 2222 |
5 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 2203 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
1 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | -5.3 in |
2 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | -5.1 in |
3 | Andrew Bromley | AZ | Desert Ridge High | 2025 | RHP | -4.8 in |
4 | Auron Avery | AZ | American Leadership Academy Gilbert North | 2027 | OF | 3.1 in |
5 | Tytin Clancy | AZ | Queen Creek High School | 2027 | 3B | -3.1 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | -20.2 |
2 | Tytin Clancy | AZ | Queen Creek High School | 2027 | 3B | -15.9 |
3 | Devin Morganfield | AZ | VALLEY CHRISTIAN SCHOOLS | 2026 | RHP | -15.3 |
4 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | -14.7 |
5 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | 11.2 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Henry Verhamme | AZ | Cactus Shadows | 2026 | SS | 80 % |
^ | Andrew Bromley | AZ | Desert Ridge High | 2025 | RHP | 80 % |
2 | Brock MacDonald | AZ | Desert Vista High School | 2026 | RHP | 75 % |
3 | Nolan Meis | WI | Lakeside Lutheran | 2025 | SS | 66 % |
4 | Brayden Herron | AZ | Mountain View | 2025 | RHP | 60 % |
^ | Auron Avery | AZ | American Leadership Academy Gilbert North | 2027 | OF | 60 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
1 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 16.0 |
2 | Landon Hood | AZ | Canyon View | 2025 | RHP | 14.7 |
3 | Noah Pringle | AZ | Liberty High School | 2025 | LHP | -13.5 |
4 | Nolan Meis | WI | Lakeside Lutheran | 2025 | SS | 11.8 |
5 | Tanner Thornton | AZ | Flowing Wells | 2024 | OF | -11.1 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
1 | Dylan Keith | AZ | Red Mountain | 2027 | OF | 80 % |
2 | Nolan Meis | WI | Lakeside Lutheran | 2025 | SS | 66 % |
^ | Tytin Clancy | AZ | Queen Creek High School | 2027 | 3B | 66 % |
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