Prep Baseball Report

Texas State Games Upperclass: Pitcher Data Dive


Prep Baseball Texas Staff

On Saturday, September 19th, the PB Texas staff traveled to Weatherford College in Weatherford, TX, to host the Texas State Games: Upperclass, an invite-only event for the class of 2026 and 2027.

More than 100 players made their way to Weatherford College this past weekend and participated in a pro-style workout as well as gameplay, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, while receiving in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Texas staff.

We've already posted a Statistical Analysis from the event, highlighting more of the traditional statistical categories, as well as a Takeaways story for both Position Players and Pitchers, highlighting some of the events top performers. We also highlighted some of the top positional players within this Data Dive story.

Today, we will be looking at the top measurable data performers from the event, found below.


Trackman

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Josh Horvath TX Round Rock 2026 RHP 95.1 mph
2 Ben Brown TX Liberty Christian 2027 RHP 92.3 mph
3 Jamie Chipman TX Academy H S 2027 RHP 92.2 mph
4 Elijah Webber TX Boyd 2026 RHP 92.0 mph
5 Branden Daniel TX East Central H S 2026 SS 90.9 mph
6 Jackson Fetters TX The Bennett School 2027 RHP 90.3 mph
7 Karson Schulz TX Clear Springs 2027 RHP 89.7 mph
8 Luke Hardy TX Brenham 2027 RHP 89.1 mph
9 Kayden Mansell TX Lakeridge 2026 RHP 89.0 mph
10 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 88.9 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Bryson Buckert TX Argyle 2026 OF 2359 rpm
2 Branden Daniel TX East Central H S 2026 SS 2317 rpm
3 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 2314 rpm
4 Preston Gorski TX Episcopal 2027 OF 2285 rpm
5 Ben Brown TX Liberty Christian 2027 RHP 2281 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Landon Carlisle TX Weatherford 2026 RHP 17.4 in
2 Andrew Alvarado TX Victoria East 2027 1B 17.1 in
3 Cole Carrell TX Rock Hill 2026 RHP 16.8 in
4 Kayden Mansell TX Lakeridge 2026 RHP 16.5 in
5 Collin Vaughan TX Walnut Grove 2027 RHP 16.4 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jonathon Dane Oud TX Como-Pickton 2026 RHP 17.9
2 Luke Hardy TX Brenham 2027 RHP 15.4
3 Carson McCabe TX The Woodlands 2027 RHP 14.7
4 Dominic Naylor TX Cedar Park 2027 SS 14.3
5 Jackson Fetters TX The Bennett School 2027 RHP 13.6

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Josh Horvath TX Round Rock 2026 RHP 68 %
2 Asher Strait TX Brock 2027 3B 66 %
^ Landon Walker TX Prosper 2027 RHP 66 %
^ Landon Carlisle TX Weatherford 2026 RHP 66 %
3 Michael Killian TX Marcus 2027 OF 65 %
4 Wyatt Schultz TX Cornerstone Christian 2027 RHP 64 %
5 Bray Dillon TX Rockwall 2027 RHP 64 %
^ Cole Carrell TX Rock Hill 2026 RHP 64 %

 Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Bryson Buckert TX Argyle 2026 OF 3068 rpm
2 Ryan Kume TX Hays 2027 SS 2707 rpm
3 Carter Hoffman TX Wichita Fall Memorial 2026 LHP 2475 rpm
4 Joe Villavicencio TX Burleson 2026 RHP 2424 rpm
5 Jake Berry TX Clear Lake 2027 LHP 2387 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cole Carrell TX Rock Hill 2026 RHP -10.6 in
2 Dominic Naylor TX Cedar Park 2027 SS -8.7 in
3 Clayton Crosby TX The Bennett School 2026 OF -8.0 in
4 Wyatt Schultz TX Cornerstone Christian 2027 RHP -8.0 in
5 Ryan Kume TX Hays 2027 SS -7.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Landon Walker TX Prosper 2027 RHP -15.8
2 Carter Hoffman TX Wichita Fall Memorial 2026 LHP 15.5
3 Jake Berry TX Clear Lake 2027 LHP 14.2
4 Bryson Buckert TX Argyle 2026 OF -14.1
5 Elijah Webber TX Boyd 2026 RHP -13.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Luke Hardy TX Brenham 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Carter Hoffman TX Wichita Fall Memorial 2026 LHP 100 %
2 Bray Dillon TX Rockwall 2027 RHP 80 %
^ Ryan Kume TX Hays 2027 SS 80 %
3 Asher Strait TX Brock 2027 3B 75 %
4 Collin Vaughan TX Walnut Grove 2027 RHP 71 %
5 Jake Berry TX Clear Lake 2027 LHP 68 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 2666
2 Ryan Kume TX Hays 2027 SS 2517
3 Joe Villavicencio TX Burleson 2026 RHP 2473
4 Branden Daniel TX East Central H S 2026 SS 2400
5 Wyatt Schultz TX Cornerstone Christian 2027 RHP 2388

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cameron Ireland TX Keller 2026 RHP -8.0 in
2 Branden Daniel TX East Central H S 2026 SS -7.8 in
3 Asher Strait TX Brock 2027 3B -7.1 in
4 Ben Brown TX Liberty Christian 2027 RHP 6.9 in
5 Rhett Dolezal TX Grand Oaks 2026 LHP 6.6 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jake Berry TX Clear Lake 2027 LHP 14.2
2 Elijah Webber TX Boyd 2026 RHP -13.4
3 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP -13.0
4 Carter Hoffman TX Wichita Fall Memorial 2026 LHP 11.4
5 Ethan Reitz TX Trinity 2026 LHP 10.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Ryan Kume TX Hays 2027 SS 100 %
2 Daniel Womack TX Lake Travis 2027 RHP 84 %
3 Cole Johnson TX Pieper 2026 LHP 80 %
4 Carter Hoffman TX Wichita Fall Memorial 2026 LHP 76 %
5 Ethan Reitz TX Trinity 2026 LHP 72 %


CHANGEUP

Spin Rate (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Johny Ring TX Westlake 2026 LHP 1956 rpm
2 Jonathon Dane Oud TX Como-Pickton 2026 RHP 1926 rpm
3 Cole Carrell TX Rock Hill 2026 RHP 1885 rpm
4 Kayden Mansell TX Lakeridge 2026 RHP 1813 rpm
5 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 1762 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cole Johnson TX Pieper 2026 LHP 14.6 in
2 Jack Snakenberg TX Argyle 2027 LHP 11.6 in
3 Asher Strait TX Brock 2027 3B 11.2 in
4 Preston Gorski TX Episcopal 2027 OF 10.5 in
5 Brayden Hernandez TX Montgomery 2027 LHP 10.3 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Joe Villavicencio TX Burleson 2026 RHP 14.9
2 Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 14.6
3 Jackson Fetters TX The Bennett School 2027 RHP 14.5
4 Carson McCabe TX The Woodlands 2027 RHP 14.1
5 Austin Lade TX Nuclear Baseball Academy 2026 RHP 14.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Ethan Reitz TX Trinity 2026 LHP 100 %
^ Jackson Fetters TX The Bennett School 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Johny Ring TX Westlake 2026 LHP 100 %
^ Bryson Buckert TX Argyle 2026 OF 100 %
2 Cole Johnson TX Pieper 2026 LHP 66 %
3 Brayden Hernandez TX Montgomery 2027 LHP 60 %
^ Dominic Naylor TX Cedar Park 2027 SS 60 %
4 Carson McCabe TX The Woodlands 2027 RHP 55 %
5 Gunner Dunlop TX Westlake 2026 RHP 50 %
^ Bray Dillon TX Rockwall 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Colton Crawford TX Bellville 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Josh Horvath TX Round Rock 2026 RHP 50 %
^ Roman Martinez TX United South H S 2026 RHP 50 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


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