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Madison Preseason I.D.: Statistical Analysis


By Andy Sroka
Staff Writer, Associate Scout

Sunday, the PBR Wisconsin team travelled to the Madison area to host its final high school showcase of the winter, the Madison Preseason I.D., at GRB Academy.

Yesterday, Monday, we followed up our Madison-area event by examining the top highlights coming out of the showcase inside of our Quick Hits post. Today is reserved for a dive into the more statistical side of Sunday, a closer look at the leaderboards in each of the measured categories. Videos from Sunday’s event will be placed inside player profiles in the next couple of weeks and scouting reports will be compiled and written in the weeks following that. But until then, here is our statistical analysis coming from the final high school showcase on our winter circuit:

MAX FASTBALL VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos Max FB
1 Bryce Leedle WI Markesan 2021 RHP 89 mph
^ Jason Starr WI Sun Prairie 2021 RHP 89 mph
2 Trace Kirchberg WI Columbus 2021 RHP 88 mph
3 Isaiah Cerfus WI Union Grove 2021 RHP 87 mph
^ Aaron Rice WI Brillion 2021 RHP 87 mph
4 Andrew Brockwell WI Brodhead 2021 RHP 86 mph
^ Caden Capomaccio WI Notre Dame Academy 2022 RHP 86 mph
^ Mason Buss WI Arrowhead 2022 RHP 86 mph
^ Taylor Kilps WI Whitnall 2022 LHP 86 mph
^ Carson Klaus WI Adams Friendship 2022 RHP 86 mph
^ Dylan Questad WI Waterford 2023 RHP 86 mph
^ Keagon Kaufmann WI DeForest 2021 RHP 86 mph
5 Torin Byrnes FL Durant 2022 RHP 85 mph
^ Thomas Ellisen WI Kimberly 2021 RHP 85 mph
^ Marcus Jaworski WI Iola-Scandinavia 2021 RHP 85 mph
^ Tanner Marsh WI Mondovi 2021 OF 85 mph
^ Logan Dobberstein WI Pewaukee 2022 RHP 85 mph
^ Owen Rice WI East Troy 2021 LHP 85 mph
^ Evan Long WI Tomah 2021 RHP 85 mph

There were a ton of on-mound takeaways from Sunday, as highlighted inside of our loaded Quick Hits post, and we’ll touch on the top velocities posted here, led by junior RHPs Bryce Leedle (Markesan) and Jason Starr (Sun Prairie). We had some idea of the velo jump Leedle was producing in late 2019, but Starr’s big uptick was among the most notable highlights coming out of the weekend. Columbus’ RHP/OF Trace Kirchberg (2021) sat at a firm 86-88 mph himself while taking one of the better rounds of BP on the day. Union Grove’s RHP Isaiah Cerfus (2021) has long been known to us for his arm strength and he touched a personal PBR best of 87 mph here, the same high as RHP Aaron Rice (Brillion, 2021), another upside follow junior. Sophomores Mason Buss (Arrowhead), Caden Capomaccio (Notre Dame Academy), Carson Klaus (Adams-Friendship), and Taylor Kilps (Whitnall) each reached an 86 mph high, leading the 2022s in attendance. Kilps’ high was especially notable considering his came from the left side. Freshman RHP Dylan Questad (Waterford) has some exceptional arm strength and he reached 86 mph, too, and it helped him land on more leaderboards elsewhere.

TOP 60-YARD DASH

Rank Name State School Class Pos 60-yard
1 Dominik McVay WI Mineral Point 2022 OF 6.58
2 Tanner Marsh WI Mondovi 2021 OF 6.60
3 Carson Shepard WI Sun Prairie 2021 SS 6.63
4 Max Bredeson WI Arrowhead 2021 OF 6.70
5 Trace Kirchberg WI Columbus 2021 RHP 6.71
6 Will Michalsky WI Wisconsin Dells 2022 SS 6.78
7 Ryan Karst WI Brookfield East 2022 RHP 6.79
8 Nick Nowak WI Waukesha South 2021 C 6.81
9 Colten Schillinger WI Stratford 2021 C 6.88
^ Jenkin Alexander WI Sun Prairie 2022 SS 6.88

There were 23 prospects who recorded sub-7.00 marks in the 60, so we’ll highlight a few here. Sophomore Dominik McVay (Mineral Point) had a statistically strong day from multiple areas, most especially on this chart, where he led all prospects with a 6.58 time. Both Tanner Marsh (Mondovi, 2021) and Carson Shepard (Sun Prairie, 2021) repped Team Wisconsin at the PBR Future Games last summer and look like two of the top uncommitted prospects in the region – and they both made demonstrable strides over the offseason. Marsh ran a 6.60 here and Shepard ran a 6.63. Aforementioned junior Kirchberg recorded a 6.71 mark, further breaking out on Sunday. Will Michalsky (Wisconsin Dells, 2022) made a strong first impression at his PBR debut with a 6.78 mark. It was also impressive to see sophomore RHP/OF Ryan Karst (Brookfield East) run a 6.79 with his physical 6-foot-3, 195-pound build. Zander Rockow (Thorp) has an advanced look and build for a freshman, resembling a high-level running back, and he recorded a 6.89 mark here as well.

TOP EXIT VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velo
1 Tanner Marsh WI Mondovi 2021 OF 95
^ Trace Kirchberg WI Columbus 2021 RHP 95
2 Carson Shepard WI Sun Prairie 2021 SS 94
3 Cameron Lucey WI Monona Grove 2021 3B 92
^ Max Bredeson WI Arrowhead 2021 OF 92
^ Jacob Borchert WI New Berlin Eisenhower 2021 RHP 92
^ Noah Hanson WI McDonell Central 2022 OF 92
^ Brigs Richartz WI Menomonie 2021 C 92
^ Joseph Toetz WI Greendale 2021 SS 92
4 Ethan Hoogesteger WI Nekoosa 2022 SS 91
^ Theo Zeidler WI Bay Port 2022 RHP 91
^ Luke Ross FL IMG Academy 2022 LHP 91
^ Jacob Modjeski WI Port Washington 2021 3B 91

More familiar faces here as Kirchberg and Marsh led the way with 95 mph highs off the tee at the exit velo station. The 5-foot-9, 150-pound athlete, Shepard, impressed with a 94 mph high from the tee, especially given the fact that he’s more well-known for his soft and quick actions up the middle of the infield. OF Noah Hanson (McDonnell Central Catholic, 2022) led the sophomores on Sunday with a 92 mph best from the tee. Junior Brigs Richartz (Menomonie) really improved his prospect stock on Sunday, with the help of a loud round from the left side on Sunday, topping 92 mph off the tee, too.

TOP INFIELD VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos INF Velo
1 Austin Bestul WI Elkhorn 2021 SS 89
2 Carson Shepard WI Sun Prairie 2021 SS 88
^ Torin Byrnes FL Durant 2022 RHP 88
^ Thomas Ellisen WI Kimberly 2021 RHP 88
3 Jacob Borchert WI New Berlin Eisenhower 2021 RHP 86
^ Yosef Baldon IV WI Madison West 2022 OF 86
^ N.J. Elias WI Verona Area 2022 OF 86
4 Carter Stebane WI Brillion 2021 SS 85
^ Ryland Wall WI Holmen 2021 SS 85
^ Mason Kirchberg WI DeForest 2021 3B 85
^ Nick Nowak WI Waukesha South 2021 C 85
^ Tyler Clark WI West Allis Hale 2022 3B 85

Two of the smoothest rounds of infield defense topped this leaderboard: Austin Bestul (Elkhorn, 2021) and Shepard. Bestul’s trending way up after a big all-around performance on Sunday, and he led this group with an 89 mph best to first, with accuracy and quick overall actions. Shepard, overall, may have produced the most efficient and natural infield session and his uptick in arm strength gained over the offseason will help him increase his chances to star at shortstop rather than slide over to roam second at a high level. Kimberly’s Thomas Ellisen (2021) debuted at a PBR showcase on Sunday and performed well in multiple areas, running a sub-7.00 while being 88 mph across the infield. Torin Byrnes (Tremper, 2022) ranges well for his lanky 6-foot-5 size and he has some big arm strength, topping 88 mph himself which translates well on the mound.

TOP OUTFIELD VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos OF Velo
1 Dylan Questad WI Waterford 2023 RHP 93
2 Trace Kirchberg WI Columbus 2021 RHP 92
3 Ryan Karst WI Brookfield East 2022 RHP 90
4 Tanner Marsh WI Mondovi 2021 OF 89
^ Christian Oppor WI Columbus 2022 LHP 89
^ Addison Ostrenga WI Sun Prairie 2022 OF 89
5 Taylor Kilps WI Whitnall 2022 LHP 88
^ Max Bredeson WI Arrowhead 2021 OF 88
^ N.J. Elias WI Verona Area 2022 OF 88
^ Jaden Schwantz WI River Falls 2021 OF 88
^ Angel Rades WI Oak Creek 2021 OF 88
6 Jake Swanson IL Grant 2023 LHP 87

At a showcase this size, it’s especially noteworthy to see a freshman atop a leaderboard like this. Questad led the way with a 93 mph best to home, further establishing himself as a high-follow in the state’s budding 2023 class. Kirchberg, again, was right near the top of another leaderboard, recording a 92 mph high to home. Karst was up to 89 mph on the mound at a showcase back in February, so it was natural to see the high-follow sophomore reach 90 mph from the outfield. More representatives from the 2022 class impressed inside this group: Addison Ostrenga (Sun Prairie), Christian Oppor (Columbus), Nathan Elias (Verona Area), and Taylor Kilps (Whitnall).

TOP CATCHER VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos C Velo
1 Brandon Vlcko IA Cedar Rapids Prairie 2022 C 82
2 Colten Schillinger WI Stratford 2021 C 79
3 Mason Fink WI Verona 2022 C 76
^ Evan Long WI Tomah 2021 RHP 76
^ Caleb Gardow WI Chippewa Falls 2021 C 76
^ Ethan Graham WI Wausau West 2022 C 76
4 Charlie Bogue WI Mount Horeb 2021 C 75
5 Kase Reierson WI Deforest 2022 C 74
^ Nick Nowak WI Waukesha South 2021 C 74
^ Beau Martins WI Muskego 2023 OF 74
^ Brigs Richartz WI Menomonie 2021 C 74

From Stevens Point, physical 6-foot-1, 185-pound sophomore Brandon Vlcko led this group by a few ticks with an 82 mph high to second. He took a loud round of BP, too, though he’ll work making his actions from behind the plate more efficient to make better use of his advanced arm strength. Colten Schillinger (Stratford, 2021) showcased a new-look, strong build which helped him produce some above-average actions from behind the dish, aided by a 79 mph top to the bag. Verona Area sophomore Mason Fink also impressed with a 76 mph best which helped him produce some impressive defensive actions, regardless of his age.

TOP POP TIMES

Rank Name State School Class Pos Pop Time
1 Charlie Bogue WI Mount Horeb 2021 C 2.00-2.19
2 Nick Nowak WI Waukesha South 2021 C 2.01-2.15
3 Mason Fink WI Verona 2022 C 2.03-2.09
4 Caleb Gardow WI Chippewa Falls 2021 C 2.05-2.12
5 Kase Reierson WI Deforest 2022 C 2.09-2.25
^ Colten Schillinger WI Stratford 2021 C 2.09-2.25
6 Aidan Ripp WI Sun Prairie 2022 C 2.10-2.15
7 Brigs Richartz WI Menomonie 2021 C 2.10-2.22

Mount Horeb junior Charlie Bogue is both quick and accurate on his throws through the infield and repeated well out of the crouch to average some of the lowest pop times of those in attendance. The same can be said of Waukesha South’s Nick Nowak (2021), who was also quick and controlled erupting from the crouch on Sunday. Aforementioned sophomore Fink averaged the lowest pops of the day. Richartz landed as a junior follow to know exiting this event for his left-handed bat but he also was consistently quick and clean out of the chute, enhancing his overall profile. Freshman Josue Figueroa (Sun Prairie) took some solid switch-hit reps at the plate and also performed with advanced actions from behind the plate.

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