Prep Baseball Report

Orange County Preseason ID: Pitcher Data Dive


By: Gavin Smith
Manager, Content & Operations

On Tuesday, December 30th, the Prep Baseball California team hosted the Orange County Preseason ID at JSerra High School in San Juan Capistrano, Cal. This was an open event for high school classes (2026-2029), and gave our staff an ample look at the area's top prospects.

Over 50 players made their way to JSerra and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball California staff.

Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories below:

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Jake Wells CA Millikan High 2027 RHP 89.5 mph
2 Jacob Farias CA Elsinore High 2026 RHP 89.3 mph
3 Geno Guerrero CA Redondo Union High 2026 RHP 88.4 mph
4 Emmett Maloney CA Mira Costa High 2027 RHP 87.6 mph
5 Braedon Baggs CA San Clemente High 2026 RHP 87.2 mph
6 Eli Rubel CA Servite High School 2027 C 86.7 mph
7 Kekoa Delatori CA Mira Costa High 2028 RHP 86.4 mph
8 Colton Mossman CA JSerra Catholic 2027 OF 84.7 mph
9 Scott Forest CA Temecula Valley High 2027 RHP 84.4 mph
10 Evan Rudnev CA Sage Creek High 2028 3B 84.0 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jacob Farias CA Elsinore High 2026 RHP 2185 rpm
2 Geno Guerrero CA Redondo Union High 2026 RHP 2168 rpm
3 Thomas Bonikowski CA Huntington Beach High 2029 RHP 2112 rpm
4 Tristan Miyashiro CA Harvard-Westlake 2030 LHP 2098 rpm
5 Evan Rudnev CA Sage Creek High 2028 3B 2063 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

 Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

CHANGEUP

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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