Prep Baseball Report

Rhino Scout Day: TrackMan Files


Kevin Cronin
Tech Analyst, Area Scout

On Saturday, September 30, the PBR Illinois staff held the first ever Rhino Scout Day event at the Rhino Sports Academy in Shorewood, Illinois. Roughly 40+ prospects from the Rhino Baseball program were in attendance. 

Now, at the event’s conclusion, we’ll start to roll out several different content-related pieces from the day, starting with this statistical analysis. Earlier today our staff rolled out a Statistical Analysis, highlighting which players led each respective category from the day.

We'll now start to dive deeper into the data we collected, starting with the batted ball numbers and pitch metrics captured through our portable TrackMan units throughout the day. Below you'll see which prospects paced this group from an analytical standpoint.

MAX FASTBALL & PEAK SPIN RATE

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Carter Storti IL Lemont 2023 SS 84.3 mph
2 Nikolai Nawracaj IL Lincoln-Way West 2022 RHP 83.3 mph
3 Caden Kuder IL Coal City 2023 LHP 82.9 mph
4 Christopher McCormack IL Naperville Central 2023 RHP 81.8 mph
5 Brenden Mack IL Yorkville 2024 RHP 81.4 mph
6 Ryan Miller IL Oswego 2023 RHP 81.3 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (max)
1 Kiet Truong IL Neuqua Valley 2025 SS 2396 rpm
2 Ryan Sobun IL Joliet West 2025 SS 2277 rpm
3 Ryan Miller IL Oswego 2023 RHP 2265 rpm
4 Nikolai Nawracaj IL Lincoln-Way West 2022 RHP 2211 rpm
5 Christopher McCormack IL Naperville Central 2023 RHP 2167 rpm

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

Average Fastball Horizontal Movement

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Allen Chorba IL Oswego East 2024 LHP -20.9
2 Kiet Truong IL Neuqua Valley 2025 SS 14.3
3 Nikolai Nawracaj IL Lincoln-Way West 2022 RHP 12.3

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

Average Curveball Spin Rate

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Nikolai Nawracaj IL Lincoln-Way West 2022 RHP 2523 rpm
2 Christopher McCormack IL Naperville Central 2023 RHP 2287 rpm
3 Ryan Miller IL Oswego 2023 RHP 2261 rpm
4 Ryan Sobun IL Joliet West 2025 SS 2232 rpm
5 Allen Chorba IL Oswego East 2024 LHP 2179 rpm
6 Logan Nagle IL Lockport 2025 1B 2165 rpm
7 Dylan Nagle IL Lockport 2024 SS 2145 rpm

Average Changeup Horizontal Movement

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Allen Chorba IL Oswego East 2024 LHP -22.2
2 Brenden Mack IL Yorkville 2024 RHP 16.8
3 Carter Storti IL Lemont 2023 SS 15.7
4 Joe Stellano IL Reed Custer 2024 RHP 15.3
5 Ryan Sobun IL Joliet West 2025 SS 14.0

Average Exit Velocity (Hitting)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (avg)
1 Brandon Alzamora IL Joliet West 2023 LHP 87.0 mph
2 Matthew Zeman IL Montini Catholic 2024 OF 84.7 mph
3 Chase Reeder IL Naperville Central 2025 LHP 84.0 mph
4 Cade Duffin IL Oswego 2023 1B 83.9 mph

Exit Speed: Also according to TrackMan’s own website: “The speed of the ball, measured in miles per hour, as it comes off the bat at the moment of contact.”

Peak Exit Velocity (Hitting)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (max)
1 Cade Duffin IL Oswego 2023 1B 98.9 mph
2 Matthew Zeman IL Montini Catholic 2024 OF 95.8 mph
3 Carter Storti IL Lemont 2023 SS 94.2 mph
4 Brandon Alzamora IL Joliet West 2023 LHP 93.5 mph
5 Chase Reeder IL Naperville Central 2025 LHP 91.6 mph
6 Andrew Mack IL Minooka 2023 C 91.3 mph
7 Arnoldo Velazquez Jr. IL Lockport 2022 SS 91.1 mph
8 Will Pavlick IL Oswego 2023 SS 90.7 mph
9 Christopher Suchoski IL Plainfield Central 2022 C 90.2 mph
10 Blake Binkowski IL Lincoln-Way East 2023 1B 90.1 mph

Peak Estimated Batted Distance (Hitting)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Distance (max)
1 Cade Duffin IL Oswego 2023 1B 378 ft
2 Matthew Zeman IL Montini Catholic 2024 OF 342 ft
3 Brandon Alzamora IL Joliet West 2023 LHP 341 ft
4 Anthony Xydakis IL Morris 2024 OF 339 ft
5 Andrew Mack IL Minooka 2023 C 336 ft

For a complete look at each of the statistics measured at this showcase, CLICK HERE.

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